bit.ly The 2011 Kentucky Derby takes place on Saturday May 7th and SBR gives a betting preview with sportsbook manager Adam Burns. Here are the positions, horses, jockeys and odds: Bodog: bit.ly 1. ArchArchArch & Jon Court 10-1 2. Brilliant Speed & Tom Albertrani 30-1 3. Twice the Appeal & Jeff Bonde 20-1 4. Stay Thirsty & Ramon Dominguez 20-1 5. Decisive Moment & Kerwin Clark 30-1 6. Comma to the Top & Pat Valenzuela 30-1 7. Pants On Fire & Rosie Napravnik 20-1 8. Dialed In & Julien Leparoux 4-1 9. Derby Kitten & Javier Castellano 30-1 10. Twinspired & Mike Smith 30-1 11. Master of Hounds & Garrett Gomez 30-1 12. Santiva & Shaun Bridgmohan 30-1 13. Mucho Macho Man & Rajiv Maragh 12-1 14. Shackleford & Jesus Castanon 12-1 15. Midnight Interlude & Victor Espinoza 10-1 16. Animal Kingdom & Rrobby Albarado 30-1 17. Soldat & Alan Garcia 12-1 18. Uncle Mo & John Velazquez 9-2 19. Nehro & Corey Nakatani 6-1 20. Watch Me Go& Rafael Bejarano 50-1 What do you think? Leave your comments below and SUBSCRIBE to our channel to receive the latest videos. Want more horse betting info? Visit bit.ly for the latest sports betting news. Join us NOW: Facebook: bit.ly Twitter: bit.ly Place your bets at: Bodog: bit.ly
Tags: 2011, Betting, Bodog, Derby, Kentucky, Part, Preview, Sportsbook
January 1st, 2012 at 5:21 pm
Not too shabby, played my top choice to win, and chased the tri and super with my top five, but came up empty. Worth noting that mucho macho and shackleford made very good impressions on the track, particularly shackleford. The winner looked exceptional on the track, imo, bouncing on his toes, amped, but not too amped (a very fine line). When you look at this colt’s form, it’s not hard to imagine him winning the triple crown, he’s lightly raced and obviously very capable. Go Animal Kingdom!
January 1st, 2012 at 5:23 pm
test
January 1st, 2012 at 5:35 pm
When I used “breeding” I should delineate that I’m actually referring to a given colt’s genetic preference for a distance of ground. It could have also referred to “class”, obviously. Re the derby there are a few horses that I haven’t seen run at all, the O’brien horse, for example. Being that he’s an extremely capable handler, it wouldn’t surprise me if he was bringing a live colt. I will try and locate footage.
January 1st, 2012 at 6:16 pm
I would add that while breeding is certainly an important factor (one of a few), it tends to be over-emphasized relative “other considerations”, like current form or trouble lines. The gelding who won in ’04 (if i recall correctly), beating the frankel favorite, is a good example of an in-form colt who had significant trouble in his lines, but was too heavily sold short vis-a-vis his breeding. He had value relative to the favorite, even if the punters were ultimately correct about the breeding.
January 1st, 2012 at 6:44 pm
After looking over the replays of the major preps, which is my area of expertise, anyway (race replays), my top five. That’s not to suggest my “selections” (lol) have merit. This is the first time I have seen any of these colts run. Period. I have not looked at each of their developmental processes, visually (preferred) or through the form (DRF appears to be having download problems). No one hose leapt out to me, but these looked okay Animal Kingdom, Dialed In, Midnight Interlude, Soldat, Nehro.
January 1st, 2012 at 6:48 pm
@SBRdotTV As a caregiver for my 86yo mother ( emphysema and osteoporosis), my time and energy is 200% focused on her. While gambling for living is a great way to make an independent living, there is no amount of desire or will to win that can overcome a lack of preparation. When I’m in, I’m 110% committed to it (gaining an edge). But if I’m out – I’m out. However, I always bet the derby, regardless. I have a rooting interest in the local hope, Bonde’s charge. I’m downloading the PPs as we speak.
January 1st, 2012 at 7:29 pm
@slewofdamascus Good point about theprice being bet down. Who’s your pick to win?
January 1st, 2012 at 7:56 pm
One of the adverse reactions to a large field with no clear favorite is that longshots get bet down to a point lower than their true chances. 10-1 may sound like a good price, but if your 10-1 shot is closer to 30-1 on a legitimate “value” line, you’re still taking the worst of it. Underlays win, for sure, but not often enough to stay out of the poor house. Of course, the KD is not a typical race, so…….nevermind. Gl everyone.